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Post by LeanderMomma on May 18, 2019 18:04:46 GMT -6
Why are they dropping out of everything? I know that their program is losing one of their directors due to school/district-wide budget cuts. I wonder if that loss of staff and/or their general financial state has precluded their ability to attend something as expensive as a BOA regional. That’s a real shame.
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Post by principalagent on May 20, 2019 5:23:21 GMT -6
Churchill also lost a director. We'll have to see who they pick up instead.
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Post by abtwitch on May 20, 2019 11:22:10 GMT -6
Another thing that makes this contest an adventure to predict is that a lot of Houston-area bands have peaked late season the past few years. Take Pearland, both years they jumped multiple BOA Conroe finalists to get to their standings at BOA San Antonio, most notably in 2017 when they placed 17th. That being said, I still believe they can easily make finals and if it weren't for the 6-7 hour drive across state, I would definitely be attending! Here's my personal predictions:
1) Ronald Reagan 2) The Woodlands 3) Cy-Fair 4) Westlake 5) Oak Ridge 6) Seven Lakes 7) Westwood 8) Winston Churchill 9) College Park 10) Richland
The (very massive) bubble: Brazoswood Clear Brook Cypress Falls Dawson Friendswood James E. Taylor Pearland Pflugerville Stephen F. Austin
Other fantastic programs: Bridgeland Churchill Fulshear (class AA champs?) Cinco Ranch Cypress Woods Katy Klein Oak Langham Creek Little Cypress-Mauriceville (also potential class AA champs) Lumberton (potentiall class AA upset) Obra D. Tompkins Sandra Day O'Connor William B. Travis Westfield
A couple placements may seem questionable, but my predictions are admittedly biased. Cy-Fair has been improving so much every year and I think this could be their first BOA medal for them this season. I'd say they are the 2nd strongest program in the Houston-area after TWHS. Westlake has a habit of going up and down in the rankings, but they will be strong as always.
The next "curiosity" is me putting Westwood all the way up at 7th. The band already has all of the music written and the drill will be in by the beginning of summer band, so expect them to have the full show down by BOA Austin. If you remember, they did the same in 2017 and proceeded to have their best season in BOA history, finishing a strong 19th at BOA San Antonio, trailing national finalist and district rival Round Rock by less than half a point. They unfortunately did not have the same luxury with their design team this past season and it was reflected in their results, as well as going through a staff transition. I fully expect Westwood to be back on their feet for the 2019 season, but it could also just be my alum bias.
Next up for "weird" is Richland in finals. I have them up here because their poor performance last season can largely be attributed to the washout last fall. This is reflected in their very strong start to the season, winning a local contest over other big names like Haltom (if my memory serves me correctly) before dropping all the way down to 27th at BOA Indianapolis by later season. I believe they can clench this spot for finals assuming we don't have another ridiculously wet season.
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Post by yayband914 on Aug 13, 2019 17:50:56 GMT -6
Not officially updated on MFA’s calendar, but...
Drop: Clear Creek H.S., TX
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Post by bigtrombone on Sept 3, 2019 17:02:18 GMT -6
Prelims Schedule as 8/30/2019
7:00 Magnolia H.S., TX 7:15 Conroe H.S., TX 7:30 The Woodlands College Park H.S., TX 7:45 Dawson H.S., TX 8:00 Paetow H.S., TX 8:15 Langham Creek H.S., TX 8:30 Westfield H.S., TX 8:45 Sandra Day O'Connor H.S., TX
9:00 BREAK
9:30 Katy H.S., TX 9:45 James E. Taylor H.S., TX 10:00 Oak Ridge H.S., TX 10:15 Cypress Woods H.S., TX 10:30 Bridgland H.S., TX 10:45 Klein Oak H.S., TX 11:00 Friendswood H.S., TX 11:15 The Woodlands H.S., TX 11:30 Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX
11:45 BREAK
12:15 The Ann Richards School For Young Women Leaders, TX 12:30 William B. Travis H.S., TX 12:45 Cinco Ranch H.S., TX 1:00 Pearland H.S., TX 1:15 Clear Brook H.S., TX 1:30 Little Cypress - Mauriceville H.S., TX 1:45 Pflugerville H.S., TX 2:00 Cypress Falls H.S., TX 2:15 George Ranch H.S., TX
2:30 BREAK
3:00 Westwood H.S., TX 3:15 Cy-Fair H.S., TX 3:30 Richland H.S., TX 3:45 Brazoswood H.S., TX 4:00 Westlake H.S., TX 4:15 Obra D. Tompkins H.S., TX 4:30 Seven Lakes H.S., TX 4:45 Ronald Reagan H.S., TX
5:00 University Of Houston (Exhibition) 5:15 Prelims Awards/ Announcement Of Finalists
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Post by hewhowaits on Sept 4, 2019 5:51:36 GMT -6
Schools that were listed as participants that are not on schedule:
Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX Clear Creek H.S., TX Clear Springs H.S., TX Cypress Park H.S., TX Lumberton H.S., TX Winston Churchill H.S., TX
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 5, 2019 20:54:20 GMT -6
Finalist tiers (in ABC order) and class predictions. Forgive me if any classifications are incorrect:
Ronald Reagan H.S., TX The Woodlands H.S., TX ————— Cy-Fair H.S., TX Oak Ridge H.S., TX Seven Lakes H.S., TX Winston Churchill H.S., TX ————— Brazoswood H.S., TX College Park H.S., TX James E. Taylor H.S., TX Pearland H.S., TX Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX Westwood H.S., TX
A: 1) The Ann Richards School, TX
AA: 1) Bridgeland H.S., TX 2) Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX 3) Little Cypress-Mauriceville H.S., TX
AAA: 1) Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX 2) Pflugerville H.S., TX 3) Richland H.S., TX
AAAA: 1) Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2) The Woodlands H.S., TX 3) Westlake H.S., TX
I do think 1 and 2 in both AAA and AAAA could switch around.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 6, 2019 8:41:54 GMT -6
Finalist tiers (in ABC order) and class predictions. Forgive me if any classifications are incorrect: Ronald Reagan H.S., TX The Woodlands H.S., TX ————— Cy-Fair H.S., TX Oak Ridge H.S., TX Seven Lakes H.S., TX Winston Churchill H.S., TX ————— Brazoswood H.S., TX College Park H.S., TX James E. Taylor H.S., TX Pearland H.S., TX Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX Westwood H.S., TX A: 1) AA: 1) Bridgeland H.S., TX 2) Little Cypress-Mauriceville H.S., TX AAA: 1) Pflugerville H.S., TX 2) Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX 3) Richland H.S., TX AAAA: 1) Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2) The Woodlands H.S., TX 3) Winston Churchill H.S., TX I do think 1 and 2 in both AAA and AAAA could switch around. Replace Winston Churchill (they are not attending) with Westlake, and I think this is pretty good (although I would put SFA ahead of Pflugerville in AAA).
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Post by LeanderMomma on Sept 6, 2019 10:43:18 GMT -6
I would not have Pflugerville in first place in their division either. Their colorguard is quite fantastic, but the band has a long way to go I believe. I saw them last night and felt like they had fallen a bit in difficulty and visual. Leander was blessed to have their director move into our assistant director position this last Spring, and I'm afraid that has hurt Pflugerville. Hopefully they can rebuild quickly because I REALLY have enjoyed Pflugerville in the past and those kids deserve a great program.
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 6, 2019 10:51:06 GMT -6
I would not have Pflugerville in first place in their division either. Their colorguard is quite fantastic, but the band has a long way to go I believe. I saw them last night and felt like they had fallen a bit in difficulty and visual. Leander was blessed to have their director move into our assistant director position this last Spring, and I'm afraid that has hurt Pflugerville. Hopefully they can rebuild quickly because I REALLY have enjoyed Pflugerville in the past and those kids deserve a great program. Oops... I definitely had them flip flopped by accident. I was pretty tired when I put those lists together last night haha.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 6, 2019 11:31:09 GMT -6
I forgot that Clear Brook is AAA too (at least they were last year). I would have them 2nd in AAA behind SFA (and they could win if they have a show as good as 2017). I saw a video of Pflugerville from last night, and I would echo LeanderMomma's sentiments. I haven't seen Richland yet, but they would historically be a top finisher in class.
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 6, 2019 12:35:06 GMT -6
I forgot that Clear Brook is AAA too (at least they were last year). I would have them 2nd in AAA behind SFA (and they could win if they have a show as good as 2017). I saw a video of Pflugerville from last night, and I would echo LeanderMomma's sentiments. I haven't seen Richland yet, but they would historically be a top finisher in class. It was between CB and Richland for that 3rd spot for me.
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 11, 2019 0:23:26 GMT -6
Updated as of September 10, 2019
Add: Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX Clear Springs H.S., TX Lumberton H.S., TX
Brazoswood H.S., TX* Bridgeland H.S., TX Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX Cinco Ranch H.S., TX Clear Brook H.S., TX* Clear Springs H.S., TX* College Park H.S., TX* Conroe H.S., TX Cy-Fair H.S., TX* Cypress Falls H.S., TX Cypress Woods H.S., TX* Dawson H.S., TX* Friendswood H.S., TX* George Ranch H.S., TX James E. Taylor H.S., TX* Katy H.S., TX Klein Oak H.S., TX Langham Creek H.S., TX Little Cypress – Mauriceville H.S., TX* Lumberton H.S., TX Magnolia H.S., TX* Oak Ridge H.S., TX* Obra D. Tompkins H.S., TX* Paetow H.S., TX Pearland H.S., TX* Pflugerville H.S., TX Richland H.S., TX Ronald Reagan H.S., TX* Sandra Day O’Connor H.S., TX Seven Lakes H.S., TX* Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX The Ann Richards School for Young Women Leaders, TX The Woodlands H.S., TX* Westfield H.S., TX Westlake H.S., TX* Westwood H.S., TX* William B. Travis H.S., TX Winston Churchill H.S., TX*
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Post by hewhowaits on Sept 11, 2019 5:39:51 GMT -6
Why post an "updated" list that includes four schools who are not on the schedule posted earlier in the thread?None of the three "adds" are on the schedule and Winston Churchill was an omission when the schedule was posted.
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 11, 2019 9:30:52 GMT -6
Why post an "updated" list that includes four schools who are not on the schedule posted earlier in the thread?None of the three "adds" are on the schedule and Winston Churchill was an omission when the schedule was posted. I just copy/paste what I see on MFA’s website when they “update” it. 🤷🏼♂️
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Post by dloe on Sept 26, 2019 16:52:45 GMT -6
I forgot that Clear Brook is AAA too (at least they were last year). I would have them 2nd in AAA behind SFA (and they could win if they have a show as good as 2017). I saw a video of Pflugerville from last night, and I would echo LeanderMomma's sentiments. I haven't seen Richland yet, but they would historically be a top finisher in class. Brazoswood (after being AAAA for so long) is now in AAA this year. Just throwing it out there as not everyone knows.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 26, 2019 17:15:12 GMT -6
I forgot that Clear Brook is AAA too (at least they were last year). I would have them 2nd in AAA behind SFA (and they could win if they have a show as good as 2017). I saw a video of Pflugerville from last night, and I would echo LeanderMomma's sentiments. I haven't seen Richland yet, but they would historically be a top finisher in class. Brazoswood (after being AAAA for so long) is now in AAA this year. Just throwing it out there as not everyone knows. Did not know that - good info! Thank you.
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Post by secret on Sept 29, 2019 12:10:36 GMT -6
Predictions: 1. The Woodlands 2. Ronald Reagan 3. Winston Churchill 4. Seven Lakes 5. Cy-Fair
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Post by salvation on Sept 29, 2019 14:18:46 GMT -6
Predictions: 1. The Woodlands 2. Ronald Reagan 3. Winston Churchill 4. Seven Lakes 5. Cy-Fair uh
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Post by secret on Sept 29, 2019 14:33:01 GMT -6
Predictions: 1. The Woodlands 2. Ronald Reagan 3. Winston Churchill 4. Seven Lakes 5. Cy-Fair uh Honestly, I just glanced at the list and made that. It's very likely I missed a few names while reading the list or something
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 29, 2019 15:02:34 GMT -6
Predictions: 1. The Woodlands 2. Ronald Reagan 3. Winston Churchill 4. Seven Lakes 5. Cy-Fair Winston Churchill dropped out. Replace them with Westlake, and most people would take that list as plausible.
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Post by marimba11 on Sept 29, 2019 17:49:04 GMT -6
Why can’t north shore come to this show regularity? They’re really a solid band
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 30, 2019 11:10:13 GMT -6
Predictions that will probably turn out to be very, very wrong.
1. Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2. The Woodlands H.S., TX 3. Westlake H.S., TX 4. Cy-Fair H.S., TX 5. Seven Lakes H.S., TX 6. Oak Ridge H.S., TX 7. Westwood H.S., TX 8. James E. Taylor H.S., TX 9. Brazoswood H.S., TX 10. Pearland H.S., TX
The groups just out or flip-flopping with the last few spots would most likely be from College Park, Richland and Stephen F. Austin.
A: 1. The Ann Richards School, TX
Outstanding Music: The Ann Richards School, TX Outstanding Visual: The Ann Richards School, TX Outstanding General Effect: The Ann Richards School, TX
AA: 1. Bridgeland H.S., TX 2. Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX 3. Little Cypress-Mauriceville H.S., TX
Outstanding Music: Bridgeland H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Bridgeland H.S., TX
AAA: 1. Brazoswood H.S., TX 2. Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX 3. Clear Brook H.S., TX
Outstanding Music: Brazoswood H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: Brazoswood H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Brazoswood H.S., TX
AAAA: 1. Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2. The Woodlands H.S., TX 3. Westlake H.S., TX
Outstanding Music: Ronald Reagan H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: The Woodlands H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Ronald Reagan H.S., TX
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Post by salvation on Sept 30, 2019 11:38:34 GMT -6
Predictions that will probably turn out to be very, very wrong. 1. Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2. The Woodlands H.S., TX 3. Westlake H.S., TX 4. Cy-Fair H.S., TX 5. Seven Lakes H.S., TX 6. Oak Ridge H.S., TX 7. Westwood H.S., TX 8. James E. Taylor H.S., TX 9. Brazoswood H.S., TX 10. Pearland H.S., TX The groups just out or flip-flopping with the last few spots would most likely be from College Park, Richland and Stephen F. Austin. A: 1. The Ann Richards School, TX Outstanding Music: The Ann Richards School, TX Outstanding Visual: The Ann Richards School, TX Outstanding General Effect: The Ann Richards School, TX AA: 1. Bridgeland H.S., TX 2. Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX 3. Little Cypress-Mauriceville H.S., TX Outstanding Music: Bridgeland H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Bridgeland H.S., TX AAA: 1. Brazoswood H.S., TX 2. Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX 3. Richland H.S., TX Outstanding Music: Brazoswood H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: Brazoswood H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Brazoswood H.S., TX AAAA: 1. Ronald Reagan H.S., TX 2. The Woodlands H.S., TX 3. Westlake H.S., TX Outstanding Music: Ronald Reagan H.S., TX Outstanding Visual: The Woodlands H.S., TX Outstanding General Effect: Ronald Reagan H.S., TX Im questioning JET in finals because of their poor showing at the Friendswood contest.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 30, 2019 12:25:34 GMT -6
Well, JET was less than a point from 2nd, so I don't think "poor showing" actually applies. It was a very tight contest.
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Post by salvation on Sept 30, 2019 12:40:56 GMT -6
Well, JET was less than a point from 2nd, so I don't think "poor showing" actually applies. It was a very tight contest. I worded that wrong whoops Apparently their drill writer had too many marchers in the drill, so they have no alternates.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Sept 30, 2019 12:54:22 GMT -6
Well, JET was less than a point from 2nd, so I don't think "poor showing" actually applies. It was a very tight contest. I worded that wrong whoops Apparently their drill writer had too many marchers in the drill, so they have no alternates. I saw that posted on TXBands too. Even with using what would normally be alternates, their visual individual and ensemble scores were very good - 2nd in ensemble, and 4th in individual in finals. It looks like they struggled more in prelims in the ensemble (12th), but individual was good (3rd). You can fix the ensemble pretty quickly, which they did. I think they are still a solid finals pick here, but it is going to be so tight for those 10 spots.
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Oct 1, 2019 17:25:49 GMT -6
Small change - Drop Conroe, add Churchill Fulshear
7:00 Churchill Fulshear H.S., TX 7:15 Magnolia H.S., TX 7:30 The Woodlands College Park H.S., TX 7:45 Dawson H.S., TX 8:00 Paetow H.S., TX 8:15 Langham Creek H.S., TX 8:30 Westfield H.S., TX 8:45 Sandra Day O'Connor H.S., TX 9:00 BREAK 9:30 Katy H.S., TX 9:45 James E. Taylor H.S., TX 10:00 Oak Ridge H.S., TX 10:15 Cypress Woods H.S., TX 10:30 Bridgeland H.S., TX 10:45 Klein Oak H.S., TX 11:00 Friendswood H.S., TX 11:15 The Woodlands H.S., TX 11:30 Stephen F. Austin H.S., TX 11:45 BREAK 12:15 The Ann Richards School For Young Women Leaders, TX 12:30 William B. Travis H.S., TX 12:45 Cinco Ranch H.S., TX 1:00 Pearland H.S., TX 1:15 Clear Brook H.S., TX 1:30 Little Cypress - Mauriceville H.S., TX 1:45 Pflugerville H.S., TX 2:00 Cypress Falls H.S., TX 2:15 George Ranch H.S., TX 2:30 BREAK 3:00 Westwood H.S., TX 3:15 Cy-Fair H.S., TX 3:30 Richland H.S., TX 3:45 Brazoswood H.S., TX 4:00 Westlake H.S., TX 4:15 Obra D. Tompkins H.S., TX 4:30 Seven Lakes H.S., TX 4:45 Ronald Reagan H.S., TX
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Post by twhsalumniparent on Oct 4, 2019 6:51:19 GMT -6
My Predictions: 1. The Woodlands HS, TX 2. Ronald Reagan HS, TX (A big gap of about 3+ points) 3. Westlake HS, TX 4. Seven Lakes HS, TX 5. Westwood HS, TX 6. Oak Ridge HS, TX 7. Cy-Fair HS, TX 8. Stephen F. Austin HS, TX 9. James E. Taylor HS, TX 10. Brazoswood HS, TX Music Ronald Reagan HS, TX Visual Ronald Reagan HS, TX G.E. The Woodlands HS, TX Most would take the prediction of The Woodlands over Ronald Reagan as pretty bold.
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Post by marimba11 on Oct 4, 2019 9:44:12 GMT -6
My Predictions: 1. The Woodlands HS, TX 2. Ronald Reagan HS, TX (A big gap of about 3+ points) 3. Westlake HS, TX 4. Seven Lakes HS, TX 5. Westwood HS, TX 6. Oak Ridge HS, TX 7. Cy-Fair HS, TX 8. Stephen F. Austin HS, TX 9. James E. Taylor HS, TX 10. Brazoswood HS, TX Music Ronald Reagan HS, TX Visual Ronald Reagan HS, TX G.E. The Woodlands HS, TX Most would take the prediction of The Woodlands over Ronald Reagan as pretty bold. True. But I for one wouldn’t be surprised.
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