Hostrauser's Algorithmic Rankings - 2023

[hostrauser]

Surprise! Here are my season ending rankings. Here are the important rules the algorithm follows:

• ONLY BOA scores from 2023 are considered
• ALL BOA scores from 2023 are involved
• Grand Nationals' scores receive the highest weighting
• Super Regionals' scores receive the 2nd highest weighting
• Late-season regionals' (10/28, 11/4) scores receive the 3rd highest weighting
• Mid-season regionals' (10/7, 10/14, 10/21) scores receive 4th highest weighting
• Early-season regionals' (9/16, 9/23, 9/30) scores receive 5th highest (i.e., lowest) weighting

Without further adieu, here are my Class and Overall final BOA Rankings for 2023...

CLASS A
1. Bourbon County, KY
2. Marian Catholic, IL
3. Pella, IA
4. Murray, KY
5. Estill County, KY
6. Beechwood, KY
7. Western, IN
8. Edgewood, IN
9. Archbishop Alter, OH
10. Signal Mountain, TN
11. Fairfield Jr./Sr., IN
12. MOC-Floyd Valley, IA
13. Forest Park Jr./Sr., IN
14. LaRue County, KY
15. Cascade, TN
16. Oak Grove, AL
17. Krum, TX
18. Pecos, TX
19. Monticello, IL
20. Norton, OH
21. Independence Jr./Sr., IA
22. Gatesville, TX
23. Finneytown, OH
24. Geneseo, IL
25. Logan-Rogersville, MO

CLASS AA
1. Tarpon Springs, FL
2. Cass, GA
3. Jenison, MI
4. Evansville North, IN
5. Catawba Ridge, SC
6. South Jones, MS
7. Gahr, CA
8. Norwin, PA
9. Kennesaw Mountain, GA
10. Kiski Area, PA
11. George Rogers Clark, KY
12. Morton, IL
13. Germantown, MS
14. Choctaw, OK
15. Hernando, MS
16. Dartmouth, MA
17. Jefferson, GA
18. Lake Hamilton, AR
19. Argyle, TX
20. Seminole, FL
21. Green Canyon, UT
22. Campbell County, KY
23. Elizabethton, TN
24. Camdenton, MO
25. Grain Valley, MO

CLASS AAA
1. Blue Springs, MO
2. Rouse, TX
3. Dobyns-Bennett, TN
4. Cedar Park, TX
5. Lafayette, KY
6. Wakeland, TX
7. Leander, TX
8. Rosemount, MN
9. Franklin, TN
10. Fossil Ridge, CO
11. Rockford, MI
12. Clear Brook, TX
13. Castle, IN
14. Sparkman, AL
15. Lakota East, OH
16. Harrison, GA
17. Richland, TX
18. Forney, TX
19. Homestead, IN
20. Lincoln, SD
21. Clovis, NM
22. Rock Hill, TX
23. Millard West, NE
24. Goshen, IN
25. Brazoswood, TX

CLASS AAAA:
1. Carmel, IN
2. Vandegrift, TX
3. Avon, IN
4. Hebron, TX
5. The Woodlands, TX
6. Marcus, TX
7. Vista Ridge, TX
8. Ronald Reagan, TX
9. William Mason, OH
10. Flower Mound, TX
11. Broken Arrow, OK
12. Pearland, TX
13. Coppell, TX
14. O'Fallon Township, IL
15. Brownsburg, IN
16. Cy-Fair, TX
17. Round Rock, TX
18. L.D. Bell, TX
19. Bridgeland, TX
20. Wando, SC
21. Bentonville, AR
22. Cedar Ridge, TX
23. Prosper, TX
24. American Fork, UT
25. Westlake, TX

CLASS AAAA without Texas:
1. Carmel, IN
2. Avon, IN
3. William Mason, OH
4. Broken Arrow, OK
5. O'Fallon Township, IL
6. Brownsburg, IN
7. Wando, SC
8. Bentonville, AR
9. American Fork, UT
10. Owasso, OK
11. Fishers, IN
12. Jenks, OK
13. Ayala, CA
14. Union, OK
15. Stoneman Douglas, FL
16. Timber Creek, FL
17. Vista Murrieta, CA
18. Centerville, OH
19. San Marcos, CA
20. Mountain Ridge, AZ
21. Lakota West, OH
22. James F. Byrnes, SC
23. Westlake, UT
24. Fayetteville, AR
25. Lincoln-Way, IL

OVERALL NATIONAL TOP 50:
1. Carmel, IN
2. Vandegrift, TX
3. Avon, IN
4. Hebron, TX
5. The Woodlands, TX
6. Marcus, TX
7. Blue Springs, MO
8. Rouse, TX
9. Vista Ridge, TX
10. Ronald Reagan, TX
11. Tarpon Springs, FL
12. William Mason, OH
13. Flower Mound, TX
14. Broken Arrow, OK
15. Dobyns-Bennett, TN
16. Pearland, TX
17. Coppell, TX
18. O'Fallon Township, IL
19. Brownsburg, IN
20. Cedar Park, TX
21. Cy-Fair, TX
22. Round Rock, TX
23. Lafayette, KY
24. L.D. Bell, TX
25. Bridgeland, TX
26. Wando, SC
27. Bentonville, AR
28. Cedar Ridge, TX
29. Prosper, TX
30. Wakeland, TX
31. Leander, TX
32. American Fork, UT
33. Westlake, TX
34. Owasso, OK
35. Fishers, IN
36. Claudia Taylor Johnson, TX
37. Keller, TX
38. Jenks, OK
39. Ayala, CA
40. Rosemount, MN
41. Wylie, TX
42. Union, OK
43. Timber Creek, TX
44. Dripping Springs, TX
45. Cass, GA
46. Franklin, TN
47. Stoneman Douglas, FL
48. Jenison, MI
49. James Bowie, TX
50. Evansville North, IN

[OldSchoolTrumpet]

Nice. Thanks for posting. Always appreciate these sorts of things, but I'm not sure I'd take the algorithm to Vegas just yet! 

[hostrauser]

Nov 19, 2023 17:19:17 GMT -6 OldSchoolTrumpet said:

Nice. Thanks for posting. Always appreciate these sorts of things, but I'm not sure I'd take the algorithm to Vegas just yet! 

I would never take the algorithm to Vegas, it can't handle its liquor.

[hostrauser]

Compare and Contrast: Horn Rank Top 32 vs. Algorithm Rankings (in parenthesis)

1. Avon, IN (3)
2. Vandegrift, TX (2)
3. Carmel, IN (1)
4. Hebron, TX (4)
5. Blue Springs, MO (7)
6. The Woodlands, TX (5)
7. Marcus, TX (6)
8. Tarpon Springs, FL (11)
9. William Mason, OH (12)
10. Vista Ridge, TX (9)
11. Flower Mound, TX (13)
12. Ronald Reagan, TX (10)
13. Broken Arrow, OK (14)
14. Rouse, TX (8)
15. Pearland, TX (16)
16. Cedar Park, TX (20)
17. Coppell, TX (17)
18. L.D. Bell, TX (24)
19. Bridgeland, TX (25)
20. Round Rock, TX (22)
21. O'Fallon Township, IL (18)
22. Bentonville, AR (27)
23. Keller, TX (37)
24. Dobyns-Bennett, TN (15)
25. Leander, TX (31)
26. Wakeland, TX (30)
27. Brownsburg, IN (19)
28. Forney, TX (81)
29. Fishers, IN (35)
30. American Fork, UT (32)
31. Cy-Fair, TX (21)
32. Waxahachie, TX (90)
First Out: Westlake, TX (33)

Next 10, in alphabetical order:
Cedar Ridge, TX (28)
Centerville, OH (64)
Claudia Taylor Johnson, TX (36)
Dripping Springs, TX (44)
James Bowie, TX (49)
Kiski Area, PA (72)
Lake Travis, TX (56)
Owasso, OK (34)
Rosemount, MN (40)
Union, OK (42)

[LeanderMomma]

That’s fascinating to me. And it makes me want to travel to lesser known BOA contests in the future. (But Texas. 😅)

[ilikeguard]

Very cool! Only one question - why is Logan-Rogersville MO included but not Sullivan MO? Did their GN score put them out? Unless my brain is skipping over them…

[yayband914]

Literally the only thing I question is #50 in the overall top 50 (no shade, just… I don’t see it. 😂).

[hostrauser]

Nov 20, 2023 7:55:17 GMT -6 ilikeguard said:

Very cool! Only one question - why is Logan-Rogersville MO included but not Sullivan MO? Did their GN score put them out?

Yes, that is what happened. It does feel wrong that a more critical/lower GN score can drag a band down from higher scores earlier in the season, but if I correspondingly penalize Logan-Rogersville... by how much? If I do that for EVERY band at EVERY show, it waters down the results and drags everyone towards a midpoint. It's a balancing act that I haven't figured out. It is the single-most frustrating aspect of the algorithm for me, and I have yet to come up with a good solution to fix it.

[ilikeguard]

Nov 20, 2023 19:45:39 GMT -6 hostrauser said:

Nov 20, 2023 7:55:17 GMT -6 ilikeguard said:

Very cool! Only one question - why is Logan-Rogersville MO included but not Sullivan MO? Did their GN score put them out?

Yes, that is what happened. It does feel wrong that a more critical/lower GN score can drag a band down from higher scores earlier in the season, but if I correspondingly penalize Logan-Rogersville... by how much? If I do that for EVERY band at EVERY show, it waters down the results and drags everyone towards a midpoint. It's a balancing act that I haven't figured out. It is the single-most frustrating aspect of the algorithm for me, and I have yet to come up with a good solution to fix it.

That makes total sense! I don’t think it needs a solution if it’s just the way the algorithm works.