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Post by coleeich on Oct 18, 2023 16:15:45 GMT -6
The time has come....for my *just-for-fun-totally-don't-carry-any-weight-please-don't-start-too-much-drama-but-discussion-is-welcomed-and-encouraged* predictions for the 2023 Indianapolis Super Regional! I really enjoyed putting these together, and I am excited to see how this weekend plays out. It is going to be incredible! Top 5 in Panel 1:William Mason H.S., OH Brownsburg H.S., IN Union H.S., OK O'Fallon Township H.S., IL Yukon H.S., OK Top 5 in Panel 2:
Carmel H.S., IN Avon H.S., IN Fishers H.S., IN Castle H.S., IN Lincoln H.S., SD Next 4:Lincoln-Way Community H.S., IL Bixby H.S., OK Grain Valley H.S., MO Southmoore H.S., OK First Out: Centerville H.S., OH Finals Placement Predictions:1. Carmel H.S., IN 2. Avon H.S., IN 3. William Mason H.S., OH 4. Brownsburg H.S., IN 5. Fishers H.S., IN 6. Castle H.S., IN 7. Union H.S., OK 8. O'Fallon Township H.S., IL 9. Lincoln H.S., SD 10. Yukon H.S., OK 11. Lincoln-Way Community H.S., IL 12. Bixby H.S., OK 13. Grain Valley H.S., MO 14. Southmoore H.S., OK Music: Carmel H.S., IN Visual: Avon H.S, IN GE: William Mason H.S., OH Comments: Not that it is normally is not, but this SR is so competitive this year! Soooo many incredible programs that we will get to see this weekend. I've said it many a time already, but it is extremely difficult to tell who is going to make the cut for finals...which makes things so exciting! Plus Oklahoma invasion, so I am very happy Carmel, Avon, and possibly William Mason will be duking it out for 1st-3rd. We could see *possibly* another group slip into a medal position, but I think more than likely, they will be the top 3. I think Indiana is going to heavily dominate the top 6, but I would not be surprised to see Brownsburg or Fishers randomly place quite a bit lower than most people have them. Castle is also hard to predict, and I could see them as low at 9th. Union is looking and sounding so good this year! I feel confident we will see them in finals to the point that I think they could be in the top half. Definitely the most likely of our Oklahoma contingent to make finals in my mind. Both Lincoln and O'Fallon have the potential to place much much higher than I have them. Lincoln specifically killed it last year in St. Louis, and I think there's the potential for them to shoot up way higher this year as well. Yukon has a super cool show this year, and I feel pretty good about their chances to make finals. I am excited for everyone to see it. Lincoln-Way is hard to predict as well. I really do enjoy their show this year, so I think there is a good chance it ends up higher. Bixby is Bixby. Such a fan favorite show, but the golden question is how does that translate to the BOA score sheets? Only time will tell. I can't really see a finals without Grain Valley. Only put them this low due to the high competition of this year. Another group that could end up higher! Spot 14 is anyone's game. My Oklahoma bias has me putting in Southmoore, but it could just as easily be Centerville, Center Grove, Lakota West, Choctaw, Deer Creek, etc. I am excited for everyone to post their post-prelims predictions. It is going to be such a great show! Best of luck to every single band, and know that I am so anxious to see all of you perform! Even those not in the conversation for finals, your performance matters! I, as well as many others, care and will be watching. Let's gooooo!
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Post by themarcingdepthsofoh on Oct 18, 2023 16:56:54 GMT -6
I feel like people might be underestimating Lincoln-Way this year. They're pretty strong from what I've seen. I could see them breaking into the top half I think the same with Centerville people just don’t like taking risky predictions and people having up seasons. They just gotta prove it this weekend and show everyone what they’re made of
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Post by ohbandfan on Oct 18, 2023 17:07:26 GMT -6
I feel like people might be underestimating Lincoln-Way this year. They're pretty strong from what I've seen. I could see them breaking into the top half I think the same with Centerville people just don’t like taking risky predictions and people having up seasons. They just gotta prove it this weekend and show everyone what they’re made of I think I have both in my finals predictions, not 100%sure right now if I actually do or not. But I do know I have neither of them in the top half. As I see it, 6 of the top 7 are pretty much solid. I don’t see Carmel, Avon, mason, Brownsburg, fishers, or castle outside of the top 6. Leaving only one spot left in the top half that needs to be filled. Of course, I’d love to see my predictions be completely wrong as the rest of this season so far has proved that anything can happen.
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Post by rhythmmarimba on Oct 18, 2023 17:22:50 GMT -6
I am curious how people feel the scores will be for the super regional? Will we see bands at 20th with scores in the 80s or lower? Will we see the top score at 93 or in the 90 to 91 range. I am just curious where everyone thinks what we will be seeing.
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Post by lostinthebands on Oct 18, 2023 17:31:38 GMT -6
I am curious how people feel the scores will be for the super regional? Will we see bands at 20th with scores in the 80s or lower? Will we see the top score at 93 or in the 90 to 91 range. I am just curious where everyone thinks what we will be seeing. Here's my take: We will probably see top 3 (or four) bands with scores at or above 90. Definitely will cap out at 93...quite frankly, I'd be shocked if we saw a 94 (though not impossible). Middle scores will be anywhere between 85-89. Last few bands in finals will easily be in the 82-85 point range. The competition is just so tight. Either the scores will be surprisingly spread apart, or immensely close to one another. In my opinion, top 18-20 bands will probably have scores at or above 80...? I think all of the bubble bands will have an 80 or above just because they all are capable of being in finals. It just depends on how the judges are feeling this weekend!
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Post by lostinthebands on Oct 18, 2023 17:34:33 GMT -6
I feel like people might be underestimating Lincoln-Way this year. They're pretty strong from what I've seen. I could see them breaking into the top half Lincoln-Way has definitely been doing some amazing things this year! Not sure if they will punch into the top half, but I could see them in the 8-10 range if they have a solid rep. There's so many powerhouse bands that knocking even just one of them out of the top 7 feels near impossible (unless they pull a Rouse and knock the socks off Lucas Oil!)
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Post by regimember on Oct 18, 2023 17:49:32 GMT -6
It's getting so real. I honestly want so bad for this weekend to be full of shocked faces and surprises.
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Post by LeanderMomma on Oct 18, 2023 19:33:53 GMT -6
Just for fun here are the results from the last six years or so…
2022 1. Avon IN (92.80) 2. Carmel IN (92.20) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.60) 4. William Mason OH (90.05)
2021 1. Carmel IN (91.70) 2. Avon IN (91.50) 3. William Mason OH (88.70) 4. Castle IN (85.70) (Blue Springs did not attend)
2020 NC
2019 1. Avon IN (92.20) 2. Carmel IN (91.50) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.70) 4. Lincoln-Way IL (87.97) (William Mason did not attend)
2018 1. Carmel IN (91.00) 2. Avon IN (90.15) 3. Blue Springs MO (87.75) 4. Homestead IN (85.80) (Mason did not attend)
2017 1. Carmel IN (90.80) 2. Avon IN (90.55) 3. Castle IN (88.38) 4. Union OK (87.03) (Neither Mason nor Blue Springs attended)
2016 1. Avon IN (94.15) 2. Carmel IN (93.75) 3. Homestead IN (89.45) 4. Marian Catholic (89.35) (Blue Springs placed 5th and Mason did not attend)
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Post by coleeich on Oct 18, 2023 19:54:49 GMT -6
Just for fun here are the results from the last six years or so… 2022 1. Avon IN (92.80) 2. Carmel IN (92.20) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.60) 4. William Mason OH (90.05) 2021 1. Carmel IN (91.70) 2. Avon IN (91.50) 3. William Mason OH (88.70) 4. Castle IN (85.70) (Blue Springs did not attend) 2020 NC 2019 1. Avon IN (92.20) 2. Carmel IN (91.50) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.70) 4. Lincoln-Way IL (87.97) (William Mason did not attend) 2018 1. Carmel IN (91.00) 2. Avon IN (90.15) 3. Blue Springs MO (87.75) 4. Homestead IN (85.80) (Mason did not attend) 2017 1. Carmel IN (90.80) 2. Avon IN (90.55) 3. Castle IN (88.38) 4. Union OK (87.03) (Neither Mason nor Blue Springs attended) 2016 1. Avon IN (94.15) 2. Carmel IN (93.75) 3. Homestead IN (89.45) 4. Marian Catholic (89.35) (Blue Springs placed 5th and Mason did not attend) Okay I see you Ms. boahistorybuff
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Post by LeanderMomma on Oct 18, 2023 20:01:47 GMT -6
Just for fun here are the results from the last six years or so… 2022 1. Avon IN (92.80) 2. Carmel IN (92.20) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.60) 4. William Mason OH (90.05) 2021 1. Carmel IN (91.70) 2. Avon IN (91.50) 3. William Mason OH (88.70) 4. Castle IN (85.70) (Blue Springs did not attend) 2020 NC 2019 1. Avon IN (92.20) 2. Carmel IN (91.50) 3. Blue Springs MO (90.70) 4. Lincoln-Way IL (87.97) (William Mason did not attend) 2018 1. Carmel IN (91.00) 2. Avon IN (90.15) 3. Blue Springs MO (87.75) 4. Homestead IN (85.80) (Mason did not attend) 2017 1. Carmel IN (90.80) 2. Avon IN (90.55) 3. Castle IN (88.38) 4. Union OK (87.03) (Neither Mason nor Blue Springs attended) 2016 1. Avon IN (94.15) 2. Carmel IN (93.75) 3. Homestead IN (89.45) 4. Marian Catholic (89.35) (Blue Springs placed 5th and Mason did not attend) Okay I see you Ms. boahistorybuff ha! No one can compete with the Buff! No I just thought it would be interesting to see if there were any shake ups at the top in the recent past. There weren’t. 😂
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Post by mystic on Oct 18, 2023 20:09:31 GMT -6
ha! No one can compete with the Buff! No I just thought it would be interesting to see if there were any shake ups at the top in the recent past. There weren’t. 😂 Just curious, do you have any predictions you would like to throw out there LeaderMomma?
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Post by coleeich on Oct 18, 2023 20:15:07 GMT -6
ha! No one can compete with the Buff! No I just thought it would be interesting to see if there were any shake ups at the top in the recent past. There weren’t. 😂 I would love to see a shake up this year! Perhaps it's Mason's year?
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Post by bigtrombone on Oct 18, 2023 20:16:20 GMT -6
2016 1. Avon IN (94.15) 2. Carmel IN (93.75) 3. Homestead IN (89.45) 4. Marian Catholic (89.35) (Blue Springs placed 5th and Mason did not attend) For those who don't remember, Blue Springs placed 2nd in Prelims in 2016. 2016 was also the most recent time the Indianapolis Super Regional was held in November.
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Post by ohbandfan on Oct 18, 2023 20:29:23 GMT -6
ha! No one can compete with the Buff! No I just thought it would be interesting to see if there were any shake ups at the top in the recent past. There weren’t. 😂 I would love to see a shake up this year! Perhaps it's Mason's year? One can hope 🤞🏼 😂
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Post by LeanderMomma on Oct 18, 2023 21:16:39 GMT -6
ha! No one can compete with the Buff! No I just thought it would be interesting to see if there were any shake ups at the top in the recent past. There weren’t. 😂 Just curious, do you have any predictions you would like to throw out there LeaderMomma? I think Avon takes it this year, followed extremely closely by Carmel. I’m going with William Mason in 3rd, several points behind Carmel. I don’t see Fishers as high as 4th but they could surprise me. I would love to see Union in the top half!
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Post by bandsquirrel32 on Oct 18, 2023 21:44:39 GMT -6
Looks like the most popular piece here is surprisingly Bohemian Rhapsody at 3. Most popular composer - Danny Elfman, 6
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Post by ilikeguard on Oct 18, 2023 23:05:52 GMT -6
It looks like the first performance of the weekend is a Phantom show! My mom’s favorite musical and one I was raised on (although I’m not sure anymore, looking at how much she listens to the Hamilton soundtrack). What a great way to start this regional!
Lawrence Township is playing two pieces I really love: The Theory of Everything and The Red Machine. Not sure if I’ve heard the first on the field yet. Ahh as I’m going through each repertoire I’m finding too many things I want to comment on!! Oh my god Choctaw is playing Bee Movie
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Post by redteam1114 on Oct 19, 2023 9:28:21 GMT -6
It looks like the first performance of the weekend is a Phantom show! My mom’s favorite musical and one I was raised on (although I’m not sure anymore, looking at how much she listens to the Hamilton soundtrack). What a great way to start this regional! Lawrence Township is playing two pieces I really love: The Theory of Everything and The Red Machine. Not sure if I’ve heard the first on the field yet. Ahh as I’m going through each repertoire I’m finding too many things I want to comment on!! Oh my god Choctaw is playing Bee Movie And just for you because I remember your gripe about this last year 😂 Claire de Lune count: 1
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Post by yayband914 on Oct 19, 2023 9:31:11 GMT -6
Tomorrow — it all begins!
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Post by redteam1114 on Oct 19, 2023 9:49:17 GMT -6
Tomorrow — it all begins! So exciting! And I'll be able to be there for all of Saturday!
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Post by coleeich on Oct 19, 2023 10:07:54 GMT -6
Tomorrow — it all begins! I am soooooo excited!!!
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Post by 70sguardchick on Oct 19, 2023 12:36:20 GMT -6
Tomorrow — it all begins! I’m so excited to be on the ‘blue polo brigade’ this year - stop by volunteer check in and say hi!
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Post by yayband914 on Oct 19, 2023 15:57:57 GMT -6
Some classification changes per CompetitionSuite:
Columbus Schools, IN has moved from 4A to 3A. DeKalb H.S., IL has moved from 2A to 3A. Leo Jr./Sr. H.S., IN has moved from 1A to 2A.
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Post by cybrunette on Oct 19, 2023 16:09:23 GMT -6
I'm actually very excited to see how much Avon has improved since mid September! I've held off on watching more recent performances of certain bands because I want to experience that 'wow' factor, so I'm pretty happy they perform tomorrow instead of having to worry if I'm going to miss another band on Saturday lol. Also happy the OK bands don't conflict with anyone else I want to see either, well aside from Deer Creek... Gonna have to catch that YT vid later
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Post by salvation on Oct 19, 2023 21:46:53 GMT -6
Good luck to everyone tomorrow and Saturday!
1. Carmel (M, V)
2. Avon (GE)
3. William Mason
4. Brownsburg
5. Castle
6. Fishers
7. O'Fallon Township
8. Lincoln-Way
9. Center Grove
10. Union
11. Lincoln
12. Grain Valley
13. Yukon
14. Lakota West
------
15. Bixby
16. Southmoore
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Post by bigtrombone on Oct 19, 2023 21:50:01 GMT -6
Good luck to everyone tomorrow and Saturday! 1. Carmel (M, V) 2. Avon (GE) 3. William Mason 4. Brownsburg 5. Castle 6. Fishers 7. O'Fallon Township 8. Lincoln 9. Center Grove 10. Union 11. Lincoln 12. Grain Valley 13. Yukon 14. Lakota West ------ 15. Bixby 16. Southmoore 2 performances in finals for Lincoln? That's pretty cool! I assume one of these is Lincoln-Way.
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Post by lostinthebands on Oct 19, 2023 22:32:57 GMT -6
Some classification changes per CompetitionSuite: Columbus Schools, IN has moved from 4A to 3A. DeKalb H.S., IL has moved from 2A to 3A. Leo Jr./Sr. H.S., IN has moved from 1A to 2A. Just noticed Lakota West is listed as AAA, but at Obetz this year they were AAAA. Didn’t this happen last year to them, or is it simply a mistake?
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Post by yayband914 on Oct 19, 2023 22:41:19 GMT -6
FINAL PRELIMS SCHEDULE AS OF 10/16/2023 (All times in Eastern.)
FRIDAY:
11:30 - Minooka Community H.S., IL 11:45 - Southwestern H.S., IN 12:00 - DeKalb H.S., IL 12:15 - Fairfield H.S., IN 12:30 - Southport H.S., IN 12:45 - Terre Haute North Vigo H.S., IN
BREAK
1:15 - Castle H.S., IN 1:30 - John Glenn H.S., IN 1:45 - Lawrence Township H.S., IN 2:00 - Forest Park Jr./Sr., IN 2:15 - Plymouth H.S., IN 2:30 - Ben Davis H.S., IN 2:45 - Hamilton Southeastern H.S., IN 3:00 - Pendleton Heights H.S., IN 3:15 - Edgewood H.S., IN
BREAK
3:45 - Brownsburg H.S., IN 4:00 - Western H.S., IN 4:15 - William Mason H.S., OH 4:30 - Adams Central H.S., IN 4:45 - Beech Grove H.S., IN 5:00 - Vincennes Lincoln H.S., IN 5:15 - Franklin Community H.S., IN 5:30 - Bedford North Lawrence H.S., IN 5:45 - Lockport Township H.S., IL
BREAK
6:45 - IPS All-City Band, IN 7:00 - Avon H.S., IN 7:15 - Center Grove H.S., IN 7:30 - Warren Central H.S., IN 7:45 - Carmel H.S., IN 8:00 - Decatur Central H.S., IN 8:15 - Paoli Jr./Sr. H.S., IN 8:30 - Fishers H.S., IN 8:45 - Noblesville H.S., IN 9:00 - Lewis Cass H.S., IN 9:15 - Westfield H.S., IN 9:30 - Jasper H.S., IN 9:45 - Scottsburg H.S., IN
SATURDAY:
7:30 - Dayton Christian H.S., OH 7:45 - Lincoln-Way Community H.S., IL 8:00 - Bullitt East H.S., KY 8:15 - Pleasure Ridge Park H.S., KY 8:30 - Colerain H.S., OH 8:45 - Centerville H.S., OH 9:00 - O'Fallon Township H.S., IL
BREAK
9:30 - Windsor H.S., MO 9:45 - Leo Jr./Sr. H.S., IN 10:00 - Lakota West H.S., OH 10:15 - Choctaw H.S., OK 10:30 - Northrop H.S., IN 10:45 - Lincoln H.S., SD 11:00 - Columbus H.S., IN 11:15 - Parkway South H.S., MO 11:30 - Beavercreek H.S., OH 11:45 - Terre Haute South Vigo H.S., IN 12:00 - North Hardin H.S., KY
BREAK
12:30 - Bixby H.S., OK 12:45 - Kettering Fairmont H.S., OH 1:00 - Yukon H.S., OK 1:15 - Elkhart H.S., IN 1:30 - Union H.S., OK 1:45 - Southmoore H.S., OK 2:00 - Grain Valley H.S., MO 2:15 - Northmont H.S., OH 2:30 - Lafayette H.S., MO 2:45 - Deer Creek H.S., OK 3:00 - South Oldham H.S., KY
3:15 - EXH. Purdue University
CLASS A: Adams Central H.S., IN Dayton Christian H.S., OH Edgewood H.S., IN Fairfield Jr./Sr. H.S., IN Forest Park Jr./Sr. H.S., IN John Glenn H.S., IN Lewis Cass H.S., IN Paoli Jr./Sr. H.S., IN Scottsburg H.S., IN Southwestern H.S., IN Vincennes Lincoln H.S., IN Western H.S., IN
CLASS AA: Bedford North Lawrence H.S., IN Beech Grove H.S., IN Bullitt East H.S., KY Choctaw H.S., OK Decatur Central H.S., IN Grain Valley H.S., MO Jasper H.S., IN Lafayette H.S., MO Leo Jr./Sr. H.S., IN Northmont H.S., OH Parkway South H.S., MO Pendleton Heights H.S., IN Pleasure Ridge Park H.S., KY Plymouth H.S., IN South Oldham H.S., KY Terre Haute North Vigo H.S., IN Terre Haute South Vigo H.S., IN Windsor H.S., MO
CLASS AAA: Beavercreek H.S., OH Bixby H.S., OK Castle H.S., IN Colerain H.S., OH Columbus Schools, IN Deer Creek H.S., OK DeKalb H.S., IL Franklin Community H.S., IN Kettering Fairmont H.S., OH Lincoln H.S., SD North Hardin H.S., KY Northrop H.S., IN Southmoore H.S., OK Southport H.S., IN
CLASS AAAA: Avon H.S., IN Ben Davis H.S., IN Brownsburg H.S., IN Centerville H.S., OH Elkhart H.S., IN Fishers H.S., IN Hamilton Southeastern H.S., IN IPS All-City Band, IN Lakota West H.S., OH Lawrence Township H.S., IN Lincoln-Way H.S., IL Lockport Township H.S., IL Minooka Community H.S., IL Noblesville H.S., IN O’Fallon Township H.S., IL Union H.S., OK Warren Central H.S., IN Westfield H.S., IN William Mason H.S., OH Yukon H.S., OK
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Post by yayband914 on Oct 19, 2023 22:41:36 GMT -6
Some classification changes per CompetitionSuite: Columbus Schools, IN has moved from 4A to 3A. DeKalb H.S., IL has moved from 2A to 3A. Leo Jr./Sr. H.S., IN has moved from 1A to 2A. Just noticed Lakota West is listed as AAA, but at Obetz this year they were AAAA. Didn’t this happen last year to them, or is it simply a mistake? Just a mistake. Thanks for catching that! Fixed.
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Post by salvation on Oct 19, 2023 22:54:58 GMT -6
Good luck to everyone tomorrow and Saturday! 1. Carmel (M, V) 2. Avon (GE) 3. William Mason 4. Brownsburg 5. Castle 6. Fishers 7. O'Fallon Township 8. Lincoln 9. Center Grove 10. Union 11. Lincoln 12. Grain Valley 13. Yukon 14. Lakota West ------ 15. Bixby 16. Southmoore 2 performances in finals for Lincoln? That's pretty cool! I assume one of these is Lincoln-Way. Oops, just caught it
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