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Post by Allohak on Aug 6, 2023 11:47:18 GMT -6
We now return you to your regularly scheduled '23 Indy SR discussion
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Post by cybrunette on Aug 20, 2023 13:22:32 GMT -6
Just here waiting on yayband's midnight prediction release
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Post by aiden on Aug 20, 2023 16:26:25 GMT -6
This thread had no posts for 2 weeks
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Post by yayband914 on Aug 20, 2023 18:32:56 GMT -6
This thread had no posts for 2 weeks It was for the best.
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Post by statechamp1239 on Aug 20, 2023 18:51:41 GMT -6
Who's ready for LAFAYETTE! and what is your opinion?
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Post by yayband914 on Aug 20, 2023 19:16:50 GMT -6
Who's ready for LAFAYETTE! and what is your opinion?I am SO READY but you’ll have to wait until after midnight to hear about my very important, very factual, event-worthy opinion.
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Post by aiden on Aug 20, 2023 22:18:21 GMT -6
What's so exciting about Lafayette this year?
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Post by dbbandalum on Aug 20, 2023 22:28:49 GMT -6
What's so exciting about Lafayette this year? They`re french
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Post by lostinthebands on Aug 20, 2023 22:32:07 GMT -6
I may or may not be sitting here at midnight, eating popcorn and reloading this tab non stop waiting for a certain someone to post some predictions 😃
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Post by coleeich on Aug 20, 2023 22:36:24 GMT -6
yep, waiting on the cultural phenomenon
was hoping they might get posted at midnight ET since that’s the contest’s time, but alas we wait
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Post by dbbandalum on Aug 20, 2023 22:37:54 GMT -6
its 1pm for me so do I have to wait 11 more hours??
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Post by yayband914 on Aug 20, 2023 23:47:07 GMT -6
Exactly two months until this contest! It's time for very early predictions. Rather than going through the headache of trying to guess placements, I'm making the predictions tier-based and in alphabetical order.
THE MAIN EVENT. WHAT YOU ALL HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR.
And I'm sorry to say, I cannot possibly rank all 67 bands. So, I've instead tried to call the top 30. The tiers are wider and more loose because of the quality of all of these ensembles.
I wrote novels for the other three shows on this weekend, but I'll keep it succinct for this one. Just way too much depth and nuance that I don't have the bandwidth to dive into right now. Avon or Carmel will win. William Mason will get 3rd. A dance that has been danced countless times before. Eleven more fantastic bands will make finals.
One thing is for certain: I am so excited for the Oklahoma invasion.
Medalist Contenders (1-3): Avon H.S., IN Carmel H.S., IN William Mason H.S., OH ---------- Finals Locks (4-11): Bixby H.S., OK Brownsburg H.S., IN Castle H.S., IN Fishers H.S., IN O'Fallon Township H.S., IL ---------- Grain Valley H.S., MO Lincoln H.S., SD Lincoln-Way H.S., IL ---------- Finals Bubble (12-18): Center Grove H.S., IN Centerville H.S., OH Lafayette H.S., LA Lakota West H.S., OH Southmoore H.S., OK Union H.S., OK Yukon H.S., OK ---------- Potential Top 30 Bands (19-30): Beavercreek H.S., OH Deer Creek H.S., OK Franklin Community H.S., IN Jasper H.S., IN Kettering Fairmont H.S., OH Noblesville H.S., IN Westfield H.S., IN ---------- Ben Davis H.S., IN Choctaw H.S., OK Columbus Schools, IN Lawrence Township, IN North Hardin H.S., KY
A: Edgewood H.S., IN AA: Grain Valley H.S., MO AAA: Bixby H.S., OK AAAA: Ugh, idk... Avon?
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Post by aiden on Aug 21, 2023 7:38:43 GMT -6
I saw segments 1 and 2 of Beavercreek on Thursday and they'll probably be somewhere in the top 25 like last year when they got 24th place
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Post by coleeich on Aug 21, 2023 7:42:31 GMT -6
I like those rankings. Seeing Bixby in the top 6 conversation makes me heart happy.
This is such a stacked regional this year! So many incredible bands fighting for those last few spots in finals.
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Post by statechamp1239 on Aug 21, 2023 12:53:47 GMT -6
What's so exciting about Lafayette this year? Everything! the 2-time Grand National Finalist and multiple time Semifinals, Grand National Class Champion, Atlanta Super Regional Finalist, 16-time Louisiana State Champion and have stayed 20+ years in top 2, they won some Texas local competitions, plus they haven't done BOA in a long time, and they're from Louisiana, and they got a new director, and they are coming to Indianapolis SR. SO EVERYTHING!
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Post by statechamp1239 on Aug 21, 2023 12:55:11 GMT -6
What's so exciting about Lafayette this year? They`re french HEY! we don't talk about that!
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Post by bigtrombone on Aug 21, 2023 13:30:27 GMT -6
Finals Locks (4-11):
Bixby H.S., OK Brownsburg H.S., IN Castle H.S., IN Fishers H.S., IN O'Fallon Township H.S., IL ---------- Grain Valley H.S., MO Lincoln H.S., SD Lincoln-Way H.S., IL ---------- The biased side in me wants to say you've got Lincoln too low, but there's another part of me that could see this playing out. These are going to be groups that will be VERY close to each other in prelims before there's a noticeable gap between 7th and 8th in finals. It's going to be interesting which bands are going to be in which panel. I was thinking about going out to Lincoln's show premiere tonight to get a read on them, but I'm not sure if they are going to postpone/cancel it tonight due to the current heat wave that's striking the central/high plains this week. EDIT: Lincoln's premiere is actually tomorrow night. Unfortunately though, the heat index is going to be worse tomorrow then it was today so I don't have high hopes that the premiere is going to happen. We have literally become Texas (temperarture-wise at least) up here in South Dakota and Minnesota.
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Post by coleeich on Aug 22, 2023 8:56:03 GMT -6
Found a video of Choctaw's first movement on their website, and I think I may have underestimated them for this season. With this stacked lineup, it will still be very difficult to make finals, but I think they might be more in the finals bubble conversation than I previously thought. We will see how this season progresses though!
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Post by hewhowaits on Aug 29, 2023 12:15:36 GMT -6
Dayton Christian H.S., OH has been added to the participants list.
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Post by regimember on Sept 1, 2023 21:44:38 GMT -6
Im just here to say, Union is looking great and sounding even better. So excited to see how this year plays out with all the Oklahoma groups. Things are getting real out here...
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Post by coleeich on Sept 3, 2023 14:35:33 GMT -6
Im just here to say, Union is looking great and sounding even better. So excited to see how this year plays out with all the Oklahoma groups. Things are getting real out here... Not gonna lie, I am very excited to see how Union does this year. They are still smaller than the Union of old, but I am impressed by what they have put on the field so far! Plus, they sounded LOUD from their football game livestream.
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Post by dbalash on Sept 7, 2023 10:44:06 GMT -6
FRIDAY:
Panel 1 11:00 Minooka Community, IL 11:15 Southwestern, IN 11:30 DeKalb, IL 11:45 Fairfield, IN 12:00 Southport, IN 12:15 Brownsburg, IN 12:30 Terre Haute North Vigo, IN
12:45 Break
Panel 2 1:15 Castle, IN 1:30 John Glenn, IN 1:45 Lawrence Township, IN 2:00 Forest Park, IN 2:15 Plymouth, IN 2:30 Ben Davis, IN 2:45 Hamilton Southeastern, IN 3:00 Pendleton Heights, IN 3:15 Edgewood, IN
3:30 Break
Panel 1 4:00 Western, IN 4:15 William Mason, OH 4:30 Adams Central, IN 4:45 Beech Grove, IN 5:00 Vincennes Lincoln, IN 5:15 Franklin Community, IN 5:30 Bedford North Lawrence, IN 5:45 Lockport Township, IL
6:00 Break
Panel 2 6:45 IPS All-City Band, IN 7:00 Avon, IN 7:15 Center Grove, IN 7:30 Warren Central, IN 7:45 Carmel, IN 8:00 Decatur Central, IN 8:15 Paoli, IN 8:30 Fishers, IN 8:45 Noblesville, IN 9:00 Lewis Cass, IN 9:15 Westfield, IN 9:30 Jasper, IN 9:45 Scottsburg, IN
SATURDAY:
Panel 1 7:15 Dayton Christian, OH 7:30 Lincoln-Way Community, IL 7:45 Bullitt East, KY 8:00 Pleasure Ridge Park, KY 8:15 Parkway South, MO 8:30 Colerain, OH 8:45 Centerville, OH 9:00 O'Fallon Township, IL
9:15 Break
Panel 2 9:30 Windsor, MO 9:45 Leo, IN 10:00 Lakota West, OH 10:15 Choctaw, OK 10:30 Northrop, IN 10:45 Lincoln, SD 11:00 Columbus, IN 11:15 Beavercreek, OH 11:30 Terre Haute South Vigo, IN 11:45 North Hardin, KY 12:00 Bixby, OK
12:15 Break
Panel 1 12:45 Kettering Fairmont, OH 1:00 Yukon, OK 1:15 Elkhart, IN 1:30 Union, OK 1:45 Southmoore, OK 2:00 Grain Valley, MO 2:15 Northmont, OH 2:30 Lafayette, MO 2:45 Deer Creek, OK 3:00 South Oldham, KY
3:15 Purdue University
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Post by Allohak on Sept 7, 2023 11:18:55 GMT -6
What's so exciting about Lafayette this year? Everything! the 2-time Grand National Finalist and multiple time Semifinals, Grand National Class Champion, Atlanta Super Regional Finalist, 16-time Louisiana State Champion and have stayed 20+ years in top 2, they won some Texas local competitions, plus they haven't done BOA in a long time, and they're from Louisiana, and they got a new director, and they are coming to Indianapolis SR. SO EVERYTHING! *looks at schedule* 🤔🤔🤔
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Post by yayband914 on Sept 7, 2023 11:23:14 GMT -6
Concordia Lutheran, IN and Lafayette, LA have dropped.
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Post by coleeich on Sept 7, 2023 11:26:32 GMT -6
Everything! the 2-time Grand National Finalist and multiple time Semifinals, Grand National Class Champion, Atlanta Super Regional Finalist, 16-time Louisiana State Champion and have stayed 20+ years in top 2, they won some Texas local competitions, plus they haven't done BOA in a long time, and they're from Louisiana, and they got a new director, and they are coming to Indianapolis SR. SO EVERYTHING! *looks at schedule* 🤔🤔🤔 I was just about to say that lol. Sad day. Also, interesting how all the Oklahoma bands are hyper-concentrated at the end of prelims lol. It will be fun to get to focus on all of the non-Oklahoma bands the rest of the time! Just based off a quick glance, it seems to me that the second panel is the tougher of the two. Might throw some predictions off.
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Post by Allohak on Sept 7, 2023 11:40:08 GMT -6
I was just about to say that lol. Sad day. Also, interesting how all the Oklahoma bands are hyper-concentrated at the end of prelims lol. It will be fun to get to focus on all of the non-Oklahoma bands the rest of the time! Just based off a quick glance, it seems to me that the second panel is the tougher of the two. Might throw some predictions off. More depth among the potential finalists on panel 2. Not unlikely that the non-auto qualifiers to finals are concentrated there. Not sure I agree. I'm seeing 8-10 potential finalists on each list, depending on how lenient you want to be with including groups as part of that bubble. (Performance order) Panel 1: Brownsburg Mason Lincoln-Way Centerville O'Fallon Yukon Union Southmoore Grain Valley Deer Creek Panel 2: Castle MPLT Avon Center Grove Carmel Fishers Lakota West Choctaw Lincoln Bixby
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Post by hewhowaits on Sept 7, 2023 11:43:17 GMT -6
I was just about to say that lol. Sad day. Also, interesting how all the Oklahoma bands are hyper-concentrated at the end of prelims lol. It will be fun to get to focus on all of the non-Oklahoma bands the rest of the time! Just based off a quick glance, it seems to me that the second panel is the tougher of the two. Might throw some predictions off. I had the same thought reading through, but looking a little closer, there's some real balance. The finals split is likely to be 7/7 or perhaps 8/6 with panel 2 having the extra. I see 7th on panel 1 and 7th/8th on panel 2 as likely to be fairly equal quality. Time will tell.
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Post by bigtrombone on Sept 7, 2023 11:45:31 GMT -6
I was just about to say that lol. Sad day. Also, interesting how all the Oklahoma bands are hyper-concentrated at the end of prelims lol. It will be fun to get to focus on all of the non-Oklahoma bands the rest of the time! Just based off a quick glance, it seems to me that the second panel is the tougher of the two. Might throw some predictions off. The Class AAA medalists could all potentially come from panel 2.
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Post by hewhowaits on Sept 7, 2023 11:55:23 GMT -6
More depth among the potential finalists on panel 2. Not unlikely that the non-auto qualifiers to finals are concentrated there. Not sure I agree. I'm seeing 8-10 potential finalists on each list, depending on how lenient you want to be with including groups as part of that bubble. My "8-10" if I go deeper leans more toward 8 on panel 1 and 10 on panel 2. Next cut goes to 7 on panel 1 and 8 on panel 2 as evidenced by my previous post.
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Post by coleeich on Sept 7, 2023 12:10:27 GMT -6
Yeah, now that I've had a bit longer to look it over, it does seem it could end up being more even. I think I just have some of the Oklahoma bands in panel one more out of finals than in in my head, but they do have a fighting chance! These first few weeks of contests will hopefully give some clarity (or perhaps muddy the waters lol).
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